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Debate's shifting sands

The Scotsman

With regard to your report, "UN dossier 'ends all climate change doubt'" (26 January), the forthcoming and widely-leaked first part of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fourth Assessment Report certainly doesn't end our doubts. The models have been tweaked to give a narrower range of projected temperature rise, but they are still models and they are still based on unproven assumptions.

Interestingly, the report tries to explain the lack of temperature rise over the last eight years (while levels continue to increase) by the effect of volcanic eruptions and air pollution. But there must surely come a time soon when the model makers have to admit that the more additional factors they have to add, the less their central hypothesis is valid. Then we can finally have a proper debate.

Current Issues

Future costs of UK energy supply

The Scientific Alliance recently published part 1 of an examination of National Grid's Future Energy Scenarios, dealing with security of supply. We are now pleased to publish part 2 - cost of supply. The authors - Dr Capell Aris and Colin Gibson - conclude that building more gas and nuclear stations would be considerably less expensive than any of the NG scenarios, as well as offering better energy security.

What's New

14 October 2016: Read the new report by Dr Capell Aris, published jointly with the Adam Smith Institute - Solar power in Britain: the Impossible Dream